MarkG
Well-known member
- Joined
- 11 Dec 2017
- Messages
- 4,661
Have a read through the Isaac decision. Match was November 2021, charged August 2022, decision October 2022.Exactly this. The best and most successful gamblers identify best value. I am often having to explain my own bets to people who just don't understand why I have put some money on something that the market considers a no hoper. When I explain I do my homework, I study it, I consider all the circumstances including the opposition, etc, if I then conclude that the price should be 8-1 but it is offered at 25-1 then I bet. If it is 8-1 I don't bet. Even if it wins at 8-1 and I don't collect it doesn't upset me at all because it has run to my expectations and whilst it would have brought a financial return by backing it even at the constricted odds offered, it wasn't good value and was higher risk than backing an Evens favourite somewhere. When it wins at 25-1 it can become quite lucrative, but you also have to accept that this type of bet can easily lose 24 out of 25 times too so when this happens you just break even at level stakes. The trick to good gambling is to find 3 or 4 out of 25 of these 25-1 overpriced value bets and then you are quids in at relatively low stakes. But it's no good relying on luck it needs dedication, hard work, study, and time to do this properly something I commit to do to make it long term profitable even if there are some months that are very lean. I do leave football well alone though because there are too many variables, too many subjective opinions, too many mistakes, and too many cheats in the game.
With regard this football match if all you are doing is following a recommended bet from a well renowned historic gambling site such as Sporting Life and enough people doing this triggers a suspicious betting investigation then there would be a horse racing investigation every day and the people who have bet on horses recommended by Hugh Taylor would be banned. If the recommendation was actually as a result of information from a very close source then there is a problem. Truth will definitely come out on this as there is no hiding place for these sort of things nowadays. At the moment it feels like our club's name is being dragged through the mud a bit though and is not something we want to be associated with and hopefully we aren't and neither is Ciaron. This should be concluded relatively quickly I would have thought.
Hopefully it is just punters spotting a good value bet in this case.