Matches The League 1 Promotion Run In

[Jolteon]

I'm no mathematician but aren't you out with your percentages by a multiplier of 10? So we would have a 13.5% - 23.4% chance? Eg on your second scenario isn't 65% and 30% going to be 23.4% not 2.34%? Happy to be told I'm wrong though!

I'm no mathematician either so the likelihood I've gone wrong somewhere is high! I worked out the 65% and 30% to be 19.5% as @SteMerritt has said above. But you then have to factor in the 12% chance of us winning all 3 of our games too which then reduces it to the 2.34% figure.

 

[McVicar]

Ah OK yes I got you. Blimey off for a lie down now after all those figures.

 

[West Oxon U’s]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1514258219803234307

 

[werthersoriginal]

I'm no mathematician either so the likelihood I've gone wrong somewhere is high! I worked out the 65% and 30% to be 19.5% as @SteMerritt has said above. But you then have to factor in the 12% chance of us winning all 3 of our games too which then reduces it to the 2.34% figure.

Mind you, what were the percentage chances of us making the playoffs when we were two down to Gills last season? And Pompey only had Accrington at home on the last day.

 

[chuckbert]

I'm no mathematician either so the likelihood I've gone wrong somewhere is high! I worked out the 65% and 30% to be 19.5% as @SteMerritt has said above. But you then have to factor in the 12% chance of us winning all 3 of our games too which then reduces it to the 2.34% figure.

Basically this highlights the importance of us winning the 3 games, which is the hard bit. If we do, there’s a roughly even - or bit less than even - chance of us prevailing

 

[pafcprogs]

Fingers crossed for two decent away results tomorrow.

 

[Paul Cannell]

One'll do me

 

[pafcprogs]

You are very kind but don't give up so easily

 

[werthersoriginal]

You are very kind but don't give up so easily

Meh, we’ve lost interest. We just want to see good games and may the best team win. And Wycombe lose.

 

[Oxford1996]

MK Dons win, Plymouth win, Shrewsbury win, Oxford win, Ipswich win.

Next 48 hours

 

[pafcprogs]

MK Dons win, Plymouth win, Shrewsbury win, Oxford win, Ipswich win.

Next 48 hours

And my lottery numbers for a full house

 

[ljs]

One'll do me

Unfortunately, we need two.

 

[Paul Cannell]

Can't get more than 1 today.

 

[ljs]

Can't get more than 1 today.

I was meaning us and Plymouth. Unfortunately, our green friends are letting us down.

 

[ubermeistervonmeat]

I was meaning us and Plymouth. Unfortunately, our green friends are letting us down.

Plymouth are also no longer guaranteed anything either given their run-in

 

[Oxford84]

And my lottery numbers for a full house

with your 3 games left against top sides do you really think youll still make the playoffs still?

 

[Paul Cannell]

I was meaning us and Plymouth. Unfortunately, our green friends are letting us down.

Yes. Couldn't see then losing today.

 

[werthersoriginal]

Yes. Couldn't see then losing today.

Wycombe always disappoint ( by winning)

 

[ubermeistervonmeat]

I was meaning us and Plymouth. Unfortunately, our green friends are letting us down.

and themselves too

 

[Wanderer]

Honestly, we don't really see Plymouth as rivals. Plymouth fans are much more invested in this rivalry than we are

From our perspective, Plymouth are simply a hilarious side-show who we nearly always beat, whilst winding them up as much as possible with our dark arts in the process. We always bring out the A-game time-wasting against Plymouth, and it's utterly glorious to see how upset their fans get every single time. The fume is incredible

Ainsworth knows this, so pumps it to the maximum whenever we face them, and I think the agitation gets through to the players. There's not one team I'm ever more confident of getting a result against than Plymouth

Told you! Plymouth were absolutely hopeless today. I still can't believe what I saw from them. The amount of passes that went straight out, and mistakes in possession.

You could see after 15 mins that we had them sussed, but they played exactly the same way for the whole game and played straight into our hands (as they do every time we face them). No plan B at all. Probably the easiest home win all season. Can't understand how they're in the playoffs