Fan's View - Walsall at home
- Thread starter Paul B
- Start date
Thanks Paul you have knack of reflecting what many of us are feeling. I find increasingly with this side I am applauding politely occasionally when the increasingly rare moment of good team football is displayed. The occasions promoting us to stand up in excitement are just not happening. When Josh was brought on in the last couple of minutes, I thought KRs definitely loosing it now, that's a tactic usually designed to waste time not when your loosing. When I heard the KR rad Ox interview after the game I questioned my eyesight and memory, but came to a KR is getting delusional decision. I'm not a KR out but he needs to take a good hard look at his emotions and decision making.
Tactically you have it spot on for my money. KR can point to possession all he wants, but Walsall were merrily conceding the possession so they could pick us off on the counter attack, and they looked dangerous every time they did it. There is a big difference between a "shot" and a "chance", Walsall had the quality opportunities. Hiding behind the stats like this is a little insulting in my opinion, but to be fair Im not sure what else Robinson can say at this point, the after match interviews are a hiding to nothing when you are on a bad run.
Oxford had the better quality chances:
https://experimental361.com/2018/09/22/league-1-timelines-22-sep-2018/#jp-carousel-17716
With regards to quality of chances created, on Saturday we created the best chances of the season in a single match.
https://experimental361.com/2018/09/22/league-1-timelines-22-sep-2018/#jp-carousel-17716
With regards to quality of chances created, on Saturday we created the best chances of the season in a single match.
Basically 1000s of pieces of data!
https://www.infogol.net/en/blog/education/an-introduction-to-expected-goals-11112016
https://experimental361.com/explanations/match-timelines/
https://www.infogol.net/en/blog/education/an-introduction-to-expected-goals-11112016
https://experimental361.com/explanations/match-timelines/
A few things to take away: our best chances fell to Henry and Mousinho. Our attack is showing signs of life. Our defence is horribly pourous.
We have conceded 44 attempts on target...19 have resulted in goals!
Whilst our attack needs improving, it’s not far off. For me, it’s at the back where we have the worry
We have conceded 44 attempts on target...19 have resulted in goals!
Whilst our attack needs improving, it’s not far off. For me, it’s at the back where we have the worry
Nelson's header had to be one of the best chances and but for an excellent save he would have scored. I also thought Obika had a really good chance but headed it all wrong. Would need to see it again though to be sure.
Stats need to be put into context. E.g. passing accuracy. Easy to pass across your own back line when not under pressure but much harder to play a successful pass if trying to thread a ball through for an attacker to run onto.
I agree with you about the defence and would like to believe you with regard to the attack.
Stats need to be put into context. E.g. passing accuracy. Easy to pass across your own back line when not under pressure but much harder to play a successful pass if trying to thread a ball through for an attacker to run onto.
I agree with you about the defence and would like to believe you with regard to the attack.
Quite. Some stats are pointless. Number of passes, accuracy etc are largely pointless along with distance run.
Expected goals provides a genuine insight in to the result. Against Walsall we had the better chances...we failed to convert them. On the flip side, Walsall had inferior chances, yet scored.
I don’t deny we look poor at the minute, however we had the better chances Saturday.
Expected goals provides a genuine insight in to the result. Against Walsall we had the better chances...we failed to convert them. On the flip side, Walsall had inferior chances, yet scored.
I don’t deny we look poor at the minute, however we had the better chances Saturday.
Great overview of the current on n off field situations at OUFC @Paul B .. very similar way to my own sentiments albeit articulated in a much more measured way than me
Bring on the premiershit aristocrats cup games sometimes provide hope n belief when there is doom gloom & despair in the league....one off match anything could happen...heres hoping tues sees the start of a change in fortunes, we are certainly well overdue id say
Bring on the premiershit aristocrats cup games sometimes provide hope n belief when there is doom gloom & despair in the league....one off match anything could happen...heres hoping tues sees the start of a change in fortunes, we are certainly well overdue id say
Misleading again for me. You can spin stats how you like, for example:
30% of our shots were on target.
60% of Walsall shots were on target.
XG is good for trends but falls apart for one off games because it doesn't take into account the time of scoring. Walsall went 1 up after 25 minutes and were defending comfortably. They let us have a lot of shots from benign areas that racks the Xg score up but in the context of the game that is the perfect way to play. xg is saying we should have won that game 3-1, which doesn't stand up to the eyeball test, not for me anyway. Walsall had the ball over the line for a third too.
30% of our shots were on target.
60% of Walsall shots were on target.
XG is good for trends but falls apart for one off games because it doesn't take into account the time of scoring. Walsall went 1 up after 25 minutes and were defending comfortably. They let us have a lot of shots from benign areas that racks the Xg score up but in the context of the game that is the perfect way to play. xg is saying we should have won that game 3-1, which doesn't stand up to the eyeball test, not for me anyway. Walsall had the ball over the line for a third too.