I thought having a visual representation of the run ins of the teams currently below 50 points and not already relegated (sorry Bury and Northampton) might be helpful to give us an idea of what those around us are up against in the last 4 weeks of the season. Matches against other relegation scrappers in bold.
OUFC
Sat 14/4: Southend (H)
Tue 17/4: Wigan (A)
Sat 21/4: Doncaster (A)
Sat 28/4: Rochdale (H)
Sat 5/5: Blackburn (A)
Walsall
Wed 11/4: Oldham (A)
Sat 14/4: Wimbledon (H)
Sat 21/4: Scunthorpe (A)
Sat 28/4: Northampton (H)
Tue 1/5: Bradford (A)
Sat 5/5: Fleetwood (A)
Wimbledon
Sat 14/4: Walsall (A)
Sat 21/4: Oldham (H)
Sat 28/4: Wigan (A)
Tue 1/5: Doncaster (A)
Sat 5/5: Bury (H)
Oldham
Wed 11/4: Walsall (H)
Sat 14/4: Gillingham (H)
Tue 17/4: Rochdale (A)
Sat 21/4: Wimbledon (A)
Tue 24/4: Southend (H)
Sat 28/4: Doncaster (H)
Sat 5/5: Northampton (A)
Rochdale
Sat 14/4: Peterborough (A)
Tue 17/4: Oldham (H)
Sat 21/4: Bradford (H)
Tue 24/4: Plymouth (A)
Sat 28/4: OUFC (A)
Sat 5/5: Charlton (H)
MK
Sat 14/4: Doncaster (H)
Sat 21/4: Southend (A)
Tue 24/4: Bradford (A)
Sat 28/4: Scunthorpe (H)
Sat 5/5: Shrewsbury (A)
Looking at that I think Oldham are probably down. Their fate is in their hands to an extent, with three 'six pointers', but playing twice a week until the end of the season I think is going to take its toll. That said, Northampton at home on the last day looks to be a gimme. As does Wimbledon finishing at home to Bury. Walsall also play Northampton at home, and follow that up with a trip to Bradford, who are in absolute free fall. I think they might well survive.
It's looking very tight.
OUFC
Sat 14/4: Southend (H)
Tue 17/4: Wigan (A)
Sat 21/4: Doncaster (A)
Sat 28/4: Rochdale (H)
Sat 5/5: Blackburn (A)
Walsall
Wed 11/4: Oldham (A)
Sat 14/4: Wimbledon (H)
Sat 21/4: Scunthorpe (A)
Sat 28/4: Northampton (H)
Tue 1/5: Bradford (A)
Sat 5/5: Fleetwood (A)
Wimbledon
Sat 14/4: Walsall (A)
Sat 21/4: Oldham (H)
Sat 28/4: Wigan (A)
Tue 1/5: Doncaster (A)
Sat 5/5: Bury (H)
Oldham
Wed 11/4: Walsall (H)
Sat 14/4: Gillingham (H)
Tue 17/4: Rochdale (A)
Sat 21/4: Wimbledon (A)
Tue 24/4: Southend (H)
Sat 28/4: Doncaster (H)
Sat 5/5: Northampton (A)
Rochdale
Sat 14/4: Peterborough (A)
Tue 17/4: Oldham (H)
Sat 21/4: Bradford (H)
Tue 24/4: Plymouth (A)
Sat 28/4: OUFC (A)
Sat 5/5: Charlton (H)
MK
Sat 14/4: Doncaster (H)
Sat 21/4: Southend (A)
Tue 24/4: Bradford (A)
Sat 28/4: Scunthorpe (H)
Sat 5/5: Shrewsbury (A)
Looking at that I think Oldham are probably down. Their fate is in their hands to an extent, with three 'six pointers', but playing twice a week until the end of the season I think is going to take its toll. That said, Northampton at home on the last day looks to be a gimme. As does Wimbledon finishing at home to Bury. Walsall also play Northampton at home, and follow that up with a trip to Bradford, who are in absolute free fall. I think they might well survive.
It's looking very tight.
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