- Season Ticket
- No
- Stand
- South Upper
- Year of First Game
- 1982
I said back in June that Reform would collapse before the next election, and it looks like its happening already.
Farage hasn't gone, but he has been weakened significantly by the £5m stuff and the farce of the by-election. Yes, he will maintain his core vote. Like Trump supporters, the more dodgy he looks, the more they like him. But these core voters were never enough for victory at a GE.
And instead of winning over Tories or disaffected Labour supporters, he is now seen by many as a grifter, a liar and a joke. His weekly press conferences have disappeared, as has his frequent spots on every TV channel. GB news and Talk TV have questioned his explanation for his £5m gift, and right wing papers including the Times, the Telegraph and the Mail have run repeated stories against him.
Collectively, they now see Kemi Badenoch as the one most likely to become the next PM from the right.
It's only a matter of time before Farage quits to make a s**t tonne more money without any of the scrutiny that comes with it.
And Reform senior figures know this and smell blood. Zia Yusuf (possibly the single most odious individual in UK politics) is pulling the strings from Reform HQ and directly challenging Robert Jenrick (the second most odious) in what is looking like a battle for future leader. Neither have any of the charm or presence that Farage possesses, and neither have any hope of growing support for Reform. Yusuf is hated by the racist element of Reforms base, and is politically naive. Jenrick is hated by Tories and those that hate the Tories!
And beyond this you've got the likes of Richard Tice, Lee Anderson, Sarah Pochin and Suella Braverman who no one takes seriously anymore.
I said they'd collapse by the next election, I now think they'll be behind Labour and the Tories in the polls by the end of the year, and will barely see out the next 12 months as a party with credible GE ambitions.
I completely agree with you. I will even go as far as saying that by this time next year, Nigel Farage will NOT be the leader of Reform. I've said it before, but his Achilles Heel is money - whether that's his dozen or so on-the-side jobs (when he should be doing MP duties), dodging taxes by registering himself as a one man Limited Company, accepting bribes from Thai crypto-spivs or convicted fraudsters, or accepting 85 quid to say 'Up the RA'. Being Prime Minister is a full-time job, and is not a job for grifters.
I know he wants to bring Trumpism to the UK and to profiteer from being Prime Minister, even if it is to the detriment of the country in general. However, Trump is not very popular in this country - even amongst Reform UK supporters.
I think the Parliamentary Commission will find him guilty - whether there is a suspension that triggers a recall petition and another by election, we'll have to see. But the damage done will be too great to ignore.
The other thing you've not mentioned is that there is a LOT of money being pumped into Reform UK and their propaganda TV channels GB News and Talk TV, and the millionaires/billionaires that are funding this will demand a change of leadership, or threaten to withdraw funding. They want to see a return on their investment so whilst I can't see Farage stepping down voluntarily, there could easily be a revolt from within (Yusuf, Jenrick), but most likely it will be a 'golden handshake' of a few million pounds to step down as we've clearly seen that money is his sole motivation.
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