• Take part in the forum age vote here

General An Unbiased Look at Oxford United's Championship Chances

VisitorInPeace

Blackburn Rovers Supporter
I've put together an analysis of Oxford United's chances in their triumphant return to the Championship. It's a deep dive into the squad, tactics, and everything else you need to know about the upcoming season.

Now, before you grab your pitchforks, I'll admit my prediction might not be music to your ears. But hey, that's what makes football so exciting, right? The underdogs can always surprise us!

Read on to see my full analysis and feel free to let me know where you think I've got it wrong.

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

The year 1999 is well-remembered for Manchester United completing the treble with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's winning goal in the Champions League final. That same season, Sunderland and Bradford City were promoted directly from the Championship, while clubs like Grimsby Town, Tranmere Rovers, Stockport County, Crewe Alexandra, Port Vale, and Bury all played in the second tier of English football. Back then, it was called Division One, but we now know it as the Championship. What many may not recall from that season is that Oxford United finished second to last, relegating them to the third tier. Since then, the Yellows have never returned to the Championship.

Fortunately, that long wait is finally over. Since their relegation in 1999, they've endured financial hardships, played in the non-league, and even moved to a new stadium—one with only three sides, where the fourth is a parking lot. They'll soon leave that behind for a new home when their agreement to play at Kassam Stadium expires in 2026. Thankfully, Oxford has secured wealthy owners who can steer them in the right direction, and playing in the Championship will undoubtedly make those stadium plans easier to realize.

Last season started brilliantly for Oxford United, with Liam Manning leading them to impressive performances in the autumn. When Manning departed for Bristol City, things took a downturn, but local hero Des Buckingham stepped in and secured a long-awaited promotion for the Yellows. Oxford clinched their Championship spot through the playoffs, with a convincing display in the final. Now, they're back in the Championship for the first time since 1999. It will be exciting to see if this is just a brief visit or a return for the long haul.

The Gaffer

Not many teams have the privilege of having a supporter as their head coach, but Oxford United does. In November of last year, Des Buckingham was brought in to replace Liam Manning. Buckingham was born and raised in Oxford, played youth football for Oxford United, and even taught at a local school. At 18, he began his coaching career with Oxford United, working with various youth teams and eventually the first team under Chris Wilder.

In 2016, Buckingham embarked on an adventure, traveling to New Zealand to work with Wellington Phoenix. At 31, he became the youngest coach in A-League history when he took charge. Since then, he's held various coaching positions in New Zealand and Australia, including leading several New Zealand youth national teams. Before joining Oxford United, Buckingham spent time in India as the head coach of Mumbai City.

Buckingham's teams have often been seen in a 4-2-3-1 formation in recent seasons, but he personally prefers a 4-3-3 or 3-4-3. At Oxford United, his team has looked solid and strong defensively, operating as a well-oiled machine while playing with more freedom in attack. Perhaps their offensive style has bordered on recklessness at times, as they occasionally fielded almost exclusively attacking players in midfield and attack during their League One campaign. It will be interesting to see if Buckingham maintains this approach in the Championship or adopts a more defensive mindset. Notably, Buckingham has been praised for his willingness to make early tactical adjustments during matches.

The Squad

In goal, Oxford United welcomes a new face this season. Matt Ingram, acquired from Hull City, will be a crucial figure for the Yellows due to his Championship experience. The 30-year-old made over a hundred appearances for the Tigers since joining in 2019 and has proven himself a reliable presence between the posts at this level. Jamie Cumming was the first choice in the latter half of last season and remains with the club, as does Simon Eastwood, though the 34-year-old will likely serve as a veteran third-choice keeper.

The defensive line looks largely unchanged from last season. Elliott Moore and Ciaran Brown were mainstays at center-back, with Brown also featuring at left-back. Both are expected to see significant playing time this season, while Jordan Thorniley provides backup. It would be surprising if Oxford doesn't bring in at least one more central defender before the transfer window closes.

At right-back, local talent Sam Long is expected to get plenty of minutes, but he'll face stiff competition from new signing Peter Kioso. Kioso has prior Championship experience and might be seen as a safer bet for Des Buckingham at this level. On the left, veteran Joe Bennett could be vital with his experience, while Jack Currie has been brought in from AFC Wimbledon to challenge the 34-year-old for the starting spot. Greg Leigh saw some action at left-back last season, but Currie's arrival suggests Leigh's future at the club may be limited.

In midfield, one name stands out above all: Cameron Brannagan. The playmaker is exceptional in his deeper central midfield role and has been one of the best players in League One for several seasons. Every summer and winter, he's linked with clubs from higher divisions, but somehow Oxford always persuades him to stay. The same happened this summer, with Brannagan signing a new deal. It will be a treat to see him in action at this level. Alongside Brannagan, we find Marcus McGuane, Josh McEachran, Tyler Goodrham, and new signings Will Vaulks, Idris El Mizouni, and Louie Sibley. In other words, competition for places in midfield is fierce.

Goodrham can play various roles centrally or out wide, while Ruben Rodrigues thrives in a number 10 role. The Portuguese magician certainly impressed me when he showcased his skills for Notts County a couple of seasons ago, and he could become a fan favorite in the Championship. However, the wings look thin at the moment, with only Owen Dale and new signing Przemyslaw Placheta as pure wingers. The striker position is also a concern. Mark Harris was excellent last season but has struggled previously in the Championship. Apart from Harris, only Will Goodwin and academy product Gatlin O'Donkor are available. I'm confident Oxford will acquire both wingers and a striker before the transfer window closes.

My Take

Oxford United seems to be well-run at the moment. They have resourceful owners and capable individuals in key positions making smart decisions regarding recruitment and club operations. This makes me optimistic about their future. However, several factors make me skeptical about their chances of staying up this season.

Firstly, unlike in previous seasons, no clubs stand out as particularly poorly run or financially unstable. This makes it harder to predict who will be relegated, and I believe the competition at the bottom of the table will be fiercer than ever. Looking at Oxford's current squad, it's fair to say it might be the weakest in the league.

A weak squad doesn't necessarily preclude a good season if the right manager is at the helm. While Des Buckingham has received much praise for his coaching abilities, I'm still skeptical about what he can achieve at this level. I wasn't overly impressed with Oxford under his leadership in League One, and I wouldn't be surprised if he struggles to get the Yellows firing against significantly stronger opposition this season.

As of now, the squad looks thin and weak, and I expect several crucial signings before the transfer window closes, particularly in attack. However, I have no doubt that Oxford will be fighting tooth and nail this season. Whether they'll be relegated, I'm not sure, but based on what I know about the Championship teams today, I can't help but place The U's in the relegation zone.

Prediction: 23rd place
 
Thanks for that, well-written and interesting read.

Will doubtless get someone laughing at the idea that "Oxford United seems to be well-run at the moment. They have resourceful owners and capable individuals in key positions making smart decisions regarding recruitment and club operations" given various marketing, finance and fan engagement blunders of late, but agree entirely on the part about recruitment.

I'll have a more in-depth analysis later, as my lunch break is nearly over, and I've not yet started my sandwiches...
 
Thanks, Emilio!

I can see that some might laugh about that idea. My point was more about the resourceful owners. I should probably paraphrase that sentence.
 
Thanks, Emilio!

I can see that some might laugh about that idea. My point was more about the resourceful owners. I should probably paraphrase that sentence.
It pains me to say it but I dont think your prediction is far off the mark.
If someone would offer me the chance to finish 1 point above the drop I would bite their hand off.
I'm ready to be abused and critised.
 
I've put together an analysis of Oxford United's chances in their triumphant return to the Championship. It's a deep dive into the squad, tactics, and everything else you need to know about the upcoming season.

Now, before you grab your pitchforks, I'll admit my prediction might not be music to your ears. But hey, that's what makes football so exciting, right? The underdogs can always surprise us!

Read on to see my full analysis and feel free to let me know where you think I've got it wrong.

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

The year 1999 is well-remembered for Manchester United completing the treble with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's winning goal in the Champions League final. That same season, Sunderland and Bradford City were promoted directly from the Championship, while clubs like Grimsby Town, Tranmere Rovers, Stockport County, Crewe Alexandra, Port Vale, and Bury all played in the second tier of English football. Back then, it was called Division One, but we now know it as the Championship. What many may not recall from that season is that Oxford United finished second to last, relegating them to the third tier. Since then, the Yellows have never returned to the Championship.

Fortunately, that long wait is finally over. Since their relegation in 1999, they've endured financial hardships, played in the non-league, and even moved to a new stadium—one with only three sides, where the fourth is a parking lot. They'll soon leave that behind for a new home when their agreement to play at Kassam Stadium expires in 2026. Thankfully, Oxford has secured wealthy owners who can steer them in the right direction, and playing in the Championship will undoubtedly make those stadium plans easier to realize.

Last season started brilliantly for Oxford United, with Liam Manning leading them to impressive performances in the autumn. When Manning departed for Bristol City, things took a downturn, but local hero Des Buckingham stepped in and secured a long-awaited promotion for the Yellows. Oxford clinched their Championship spot through the playoffs, with a convincing display in the final. Now, they're back in the Championship for the first time since 1999. It will be exciting to see if this is just a brief visit or a return for the long haul.

The Gaffer

Not many teams have the privilege of having a supporter as their head coach, but Oxford United does. In November of last year, Des Buckingham was brought in to replace Liam Manning. Buckingham was born and raised in Oxford, played youth football for Oxford United, and even taught at a local school. At 18, he began his coaching career with Oxford United, working with various youth teams and eventually the first team under Chris Wilder.

In 2016, Buckingham embarked on an adventure, traveling to New Zealand to work with Wellington Phoenix. At 31, he became the youngest coach in A-League history when he took charge. Since then, he's held various coaching positions in New Zealand and Australia, including leading several New Zealand youth national teams. Before joining Oxford United, Buckingham spent time in India as the head coach of Mumbai City.

Buckingham's teams have often been seen in a 4-2-3-1 formation in recent seasons, but he personally prefers a 4-3-3 or 3-4-3. At Oxford United, his team has looked solid and strong defensively, operating as a well-oiled machine while playing with more freedom in attack. Perhaps their offensive style has bordered on recklessness at times, as they occasionally fielded almost exclusively attacking players in midfield and attack during their League One campaign. It will be interesting to see if Buckingham maintains this approach in the Championship or adopts a more defensive mindset. Notably, Buckingham has been praised for his willingness to make early tactical adjustments during matches.

The Squad

In goal, Oxford United welcomes a new face this season. Matt Ingram, acquired from Hull City, will be a crucial figure for the Yellows due to his Championship experience. The 30-year-old made over a hundred appearances for the Tigers since joining in 2019 and has proven himself a reliable presence between the posts at this level. Jamie Cumming was the first choice in the latter half of last season and remains with the club, as does Simon Eastwood, though the 34-year-old will likely serve as a veteran third-choice keeper.

The defensive line looks largely unchanged from last season. Elliott Moore and Ciaran Brown were mainstays at center-back, with Brown also featuring at left-back. Both are expected to see significant playing time this season, while Jordan Thorniley provides backup. It would be surprising if Oxford doesn't bring in at least one more central defender before the transfer window closes.

At right-back, local talent Sam Long is expected to get plenty of minutes, but he'll face stiff competition from new signing Peter Kioso. Kioso has prior Championship experience and might be seen as a safer bet for Des Buckingham at this level. On the left, veteran Joe Bennett could be vital with his experience, while Jack Currie has been brought in from AFC Wimbledon to challenge the 34-year-old for the starting spot. Greg Leigh saw some action at left-back last season, but Currie's arrival suggests Leigh's future at the club may be limited.

In midfield, one name stands out above all: Cameron Brannagan. The playmaker is exceptional in his deeper central midfield role and has been one of the best players in League One for several seasons. Every summer and winter, he's linked with clubs from higher divisions, but somehow Oxford always persuades him to stay. The same happened this summer, with Brannagan signing a new deal. It will be a treat to see him in action at this level. Alongside Brannagan, we find Marcus McGuane, Josh McEachran, Tyler Goodrham, and new signings Will Vaulks, Idris El Mizouni, and Louie Sibley. In other words, competition for places in midfield is fierce.

Goodrham can play various roles centrally or out wide, while Ruben Rodrigues thrives in a number 10 role. The Portuguese magician certainly impressed me when he showcased his skills for Notts County a couple of seasons ago, and he could become a fan favorite in the Championship. However, the wings look thin at the moment, with only Owen Dale and new signing Przemyslaw Placheta as pure wingers. The striker position is also a concern. Mark Harris was excellent last season but has struggled previously in the Championship. Apart from Harris, only Will Goodwin and academy product Gatlin O'Donkor are available. I'm confident Oxford will acquire both wingers and a striker before the transfer window closes.

My Take

Oxford United seems to be well-run at the moment. They have resourceful owners and capable individuals in key positions making smart decisions regarding recruitment and club operations. This makes me optimistic about their future. However, several factors make me skeptical about their chances of staying up this season.

Firstly, unlike in previous seasons, no clubs stand out as particularly poorly run or financially unstable. This makes it harder to predict who will be relegated, and I believe the competition at the bottom of the table will be fiercer than ever. Looking at Oxford's current squad, it's fair to say it might be the weakest in the league.

A weak squad doesn't necessarily preclude a good season if the right manager is at the helm. While Des Buckingham has received much praise for his coaching abilities, I'm still skeptical about what he can achieve at this level. I wasn't overly impressed with Oxford under his leadership in League One, and I wouldn't be surprised if he struggles to get the Yellows firing against significantly stronger opposition this season.

As of now, the squad looks thin and weak, and I expect several crucial signings before the transfer window closes, particularly in attack. However, I have no doubt that Oxford will be fighting tooth and nail this season. Whether they'll be relegated, I'm not sure, but based on what I know about the Championship teams today, I can't help but place The U's in the relegation zone.

Prediction: 23rd place
Interesting non bias and objective read, although I take issue (biased opinion) with your 23rd place prediction. As such, I will gladly entertain a £50 charity bet with you that we finish higher than 23rd. 💛💙
 
  • React
Reactions: Nox
I'm never sure how people can make predictions when the squads aren't complete. We might sign nobody else at all - in which case we will go down. We might sign a mixture of experienced players and some Prem loanees - which would *still* be difficult to predict given the unpredictability of the latter. We might go mad and sign five more top players, which would change the picture entirely and you'd be looking at a top half finish.
 
Good read. Interesting how other people perceive us, rather than the usual yellow tinted glasses look. Yes a lot of fans from other clubs will see us as the whipping boys of the championship, but the will do so at their peril. I'm with Sir Winston in that i don't think we will go down this season. Don't get me wrong i'm also not expecting us to rip this league apart.
 
It pains me to say it but I dont think your prediction is far off the mark.
If someone would offer me the chance to finish 1 point above the drop I would bite their hand off.
I'm ready to be abused and critised.
Bot sure why you wouod be abused or criticised?
People might disagree which us their perogative.
 
Where are you predicting Rovers finish?
Last seasons squeaky finish on final day was opposite to the year before when you missed out on play offs on last day of the season IIRC.
Actually just finishing my write up in Rovers right now for my Substack. I have them 22th. Think it will be a real struggle this season. Especially now that Sammie Szmodics is leaving the club.
 
Plymouth were flying in their promotion season and then got whipped for periods of last season.

We were absolute dog s**t from when Manning left us until the Peterborough 1st leg, and then the playoff final when we actually looked like a cracking side.

If we do anything other than finish stone last this season, I'll be pleasantly surprised.
 
Unbiased evaluation of our season!
We have a hell of a side on paper nowhere near Luton/Burnley or Leeds to name a few.

I think we finish above

Derby,
Pompey,
Sheffield Wednesday,
Plymouth,

I will take that if I’m correct, our squad is now full of championship experience Vaulks/sibley/Kioso/Placheta, young talent and players we had who I feel could make the step up to championship from last season brannagan/moore/Harris/goodhram im more than happy with the current squad as it is with a couple more attacking additions.
 
Back
Top Bottom