50 points.....

I’m sure this has already been noted but a very worrying statistic:

Pep takes over as Manager of UE Figueres - Fired after only 9 matches, team relegated at end of the season

Pep takes over Espanyol’s Reserves - Dismissed after round 7, team relegated at end of season

Pep becomes manager of Halmstads - In his second season he is sacked and the team finish bottom

Was our fate sealed the moment we appointed him as manager this season....? ?
 
Here are this Saturdays fixtures featuring teams below Oxford get a positive result at Northampton and it could be a good weekend for us.


Bury v Gillingham

Fleetwood Town v MK Dons

Northampton Town v Oxford United

Oldham Athletic v Southend United

Peterborough United Wimbledon

Portsmouth v Blackpool

Walsall v Blackburn Rovers

Wigan Athletic v Rochdale
 
Yellow River said:
Here are this Saturdays fixtures featuring teams below Oxford get a positive result at Northampton and it could be a good weekend for us.


Bury v Gillingham

Fleetwood Town v MK Dons

Northampton Town v Oxford United

Oldham Athletic v Southend United

Peterborough United Wimbledon

Portsmouth v Blackpool

Walsall v Blackburn Rovers

Wigan Athletic v Rochdale
Click to expand...
Be interesting to see how Wigan do against Rochdale. They could come unstuck if they’re still in ‘Hollywood’ mode after Man City
 
Dave T said:
As I posted in another thread, explain how u see fleetwood getting to 54/59 points



the bottom 3 really in the s**t it’s only the 4th spot we really have to worry about. Fleetwood have lost their last 7 in a row. And would need 6 wins out of their last 14. 7 from 13 if we beat them, to get to 54 points. Considering they have managed 10 wins in 32 and are with out a manager I’d say thats fairly unlikely wouldn’t u that we will need 55 ? If they continue their form for the rest of the season we are in fact all ready safe on 41
Click to expand...


The Fleetwood home game this Saturday is a must win game for us. The result of this match will give us a good indication if we are going to stay up or get involved in a relegation dog fight, and get sucked into the 4th from bottom relegation place as this place is the spot closest to us.
 
Dave T said:
Agree fleetwood and Wimbledon will tell us a lot. Hopefully both will fall exactly with a new manager bounce
Click to expand...

Yes good point. Forgot about Wimbledon coming up as well. The manager position needs to be sorted early this week. We looked nervy yesterday and lacked strength of leadership in the players on the field. Whether it will be Bellamy, Faz, Sol or peppy pig in charge this needs to be dealt with to withstand and survive a potential relegation battle.
 
)
Trainingcone said:
The Fleetwood home game this Saturday is a must win game for us. The result of this match will give us a good indication if we are going to stay up or get involved in a relegation dog fight, and get sucked into the 4th from bottom relegation place as this place is the spot closest to us.
Click to expand...
We do need to beat Fleetwood. Having said that we most certainly can't lose it. A point would be disappointing but a loss would be disastrous.

Fleetwood have had a worse run than us recently, so if we approach the game like we did against Plymouth there is no reason why we shouldn't win (which would put us at least 8 points clear of the bottom four and within touching distance).
 
Sure BBC ox said that 52/53 points is usually the required number to stay up? Does that sound right?
 
Paul Jones said:
Sure BBC ox said that 52/53 points is usually the required number to stay up? Does that sound right?
Click to expand...

In the last 10 years a team with 50points has been relegated only twice, once on goal difference. The average points tally of the highest relegated team is 47.7 (highest 50 lowest 43).
The team just beating the drop has had exactly 50 points 7 out of 10 years (48, 51, 52 on other years).
 
Worth noting even with our poor form since faz took over we have got 0.8ppg. If continued the same form that would give us another 9-10 points, or 51 to 52 points. So even at our (I'm hoping) rock bottom, we have a v.good chance of being safe.
 
OUFCGav said:
In the last 10 years a team with 50points has been relegated only twice, once on goal difference. The average points tally of the highest relegated team is 47.7 (highest 50 lowest 43).
The team just beating the drop has had exactly 50 points 7 out of 10 years (48, 51, 52 on other years).
Click to expand...
Don't forget that we have a very good goal difference compared with most of the teams at the bottom as well.

I actually reckon that 48 points will be enough his season (but agree that we need to get 3 wins to make certain)
 
Foley said:
Don't forget that we have a very good goal difference compared with most of the teams at the bottom as well.

I actually reckon that 48 points will be enough his season (but agree that we need to get 3 wins to make certain)
Click to expand...

We've got to play Wigan again yet....and a bit of a spanking could be on the cards last game of the season if Blackburn need a result. I sincerely hope we won't be relying on goal diff to stay up!!
 
iambungle said:
We've got to play Wigan again yet....and a bit of a spanking could be on the cards last game of the season if Blackburn need a result. I sincerely hope we won't be relying on goal diff to stay up!!
Click to expand...
Not suggesting for one minute that it will.
Just if we finish equal to Northampton for example we will finish above them (we have -2 GD they have -22). Regardless of Wigan and Blackburn we will finish with a better GD than Northampton.

Fleetwood have -11 and Wimbledon -12. That is a big difference compared to us.

As I said we need three wins and 50-52 (couple of draws) and we will be safe. In realty if you loom at the past 10 years 48 points is normally enough.

So we could be safe with 2 wins and a draw....
 
If teams continue their season long form Bury and Rochdale will be on 39 points and Wimbledon and Northampton on 49.

If teams complete their seasons at their current 5 game long form; Mk will be on 36, Rochdale 38, Fleetwood 39 and Wimbledon 46

Oxford finish on 56 and 51 respectively. More importantly only Blackpool and Oldham overtake us in the form scenario.
 
Beating Wimbledon Saturday would go a long way to helping with or survival or at least not losing to them. And who knows a win could start our final push towards the play offs with an unbeaten run!
 
Last edited:
uptheus said:
Beating Wimbledon Saturday would go a long way to belong with or survival or at least not losing to them. And who knows a win could start our final push towards the play offs with an unbeaten run!
Click to expand...
Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
 
SwissYellow said:
Well.

Bollox form Predictor...View attachment 265
Click to expand...
How are Fleetwood picking up 18 points from their final 12 games when they've picked up something like 1 point in their last 6 games?

Wimbledon picking up 19 points out of their last 11 games, whilst Wigan will pick up the same points from 3 more games?

Who runs these predictions? Uncle Kip??
 
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