50 points.....

If I've got it right they have four games in hand and are nine points behind Northampton. Still a big ask.
 
This season is likely to require 51 points to be 100% safe from the trapdoor to l2
 
Paul Jones said:
I'll feel happy at 53 points can see 51 being too few
Click to expand...
If you look at the equivalent point in previous seasons, you will see that this year the 21st placed team has a couple more points than is usual.
So it is reasonable to expect - at this point - that the final points total required to make 20th place will be a couple of points higher as well. That would mean about 52 points.
So, yes, 53 points is our target, and we probably do not want to be heading to Ewood Park on the last day needing a positive result to get there.
That means 11 points from our next eleven games.
Sounds fine, but lose at AFCW and we then have 4 games in a row against top 10 sides. If we then got 4 points or fewer from those then we would be deep in the mire, needing 7 or more points from our following five games.
Of course, if one or more of the other 5 or 6 clubs in our mini league blow up and go on a big losing spree then we could be ok with far less. But it seems a bit crap to rely on that happening.
So, to my mind, tomorrow is crucial. Win that, and we probably move to 10/1 to go down. Lose it and we will be chalked down to 6/1 or so, which is not really very comfortable. An away draw might seem ok, but at some point we are going to have to win a couple of games....
 
50 points seems a long way off at the moment. With no late season transfer window to work with potential managers might think a bit more carefully before taking a job. Or we get someone on a three year deal who knows that if they screw up they still get a nice pay-off and Christmas at home. Has Dave Kitson applied?
 
Lundinsponytail said:
If you look at the equivalent point in previous seasons, you will see that this year the 21st placed team has a couple more points than is usual.
So it is reasonable to expect - at this point - that the final points total required to make 20th place will be a couple of points higher as well. That would mean about 52 points.
So, yes, 53 points is our target, and we probably do not want to be heading to Ewood Park on the last day needing a positive result to get there.
That means 11 points from our next eleven games.
Sounds fine, but lose at AFCW and we then have 4 games in a row against top 10 sides. If we then got 4 points or fewer from those then we would be deep in the mire, needing 7 or more points from our following five games.
Of course, if one or more of the other 5 or 6 clubs in our mini league blow up and go on a big losing spree then we could be ok with far less. But it seems a bit crap to rely on that happening.
So, to my mind, tomorrow is crucial. Win that, and we probably move to 10/1 to go down. Lose it and we will be chalked down to 6/1 or so, which is not really very comfortable. An away draw might seem ok, but at some point we are going to have to win a couple of games....
Click to expand...

Well Charlie, we did in fact lose and if what some on here are saying is correct re the new manager could be up to two weeks away, what is your thoughts then?
 
We have won 1 of our last 9 on all comps

We need 3 wins minimum from 11 games

So that’s a major trend to buck

A new manager bounce might, might save us.

And if I was Tiger I would be seriously considering a short term appointment, a real motivator, to keep us up.

Still i will be continuing to smash the odds for us to go down. Crumbs of comfort and all that
 
Somebody on the post match phone-in mentioned getting Harry Redknapp in on a short term deal to get us the points we need to stay up. As if there’s a queue of managers waiting for this opportunity.. ?
 
dabigfella said:
If I've got it right they have four games in hand and are nine points behind Northampton. Still a big ask.
Click to expand...

Now three points fewer behind. They are one of the form teams in the league, and it looks as if the Spurs home draw has given a young side a lot of confidence.
I am afraid that I never bought into the breezy optimism that because sides below us have got a point a game this season, they would all just dutifully continue to do so. When teams - and I use the word team advisedly - are battling, and are under real pressure, they very often up their game, in desperation.
The trends are that this is going to be a high points tally to go down season. For the next few weeks, we play top 10 sides, and those at the bottom play each other (have a look at the fixture list). They cannot all lose ti each other!!
Crucially, we are psychologically unprepared for where we are. Only ten days ago, players were still talking about making the play-offs. Our new owner, bless him, was still talking that way on Friday!! Heavens knows the stories he was told by Darryl, as they went on their open-top bus tour around the university.
Hopefully, though, this is the result that wakes the entire gaff up, once and for all. From bullshitting former owners, to delusional current owner, to managerial candidates, to players who came here having been sold a pup, to Alice in Wonderland fans trying to detach themselves from the weird and not very wonderful ass-licking personality cult which revealed itself in that ghastly exit press release. Reality checks all round, a quick check on surroundings and a few swift moves. As follows: appoint a crisis manager, with a bonus for keeping us up; narrow the squad down to 20 odd fit guys and send everyone else off on holidays. Do not need disaffected players hanging around when we need to battle. Nor can we afford to nurse long-term injuries back in. Make a public request for support, apologise to the supporters for the shambles that this season is and declare a new 10 game mini season with a points target of 12 to reach safety before Blackburn away.
I backed us to be relegated at 20/1 in December, and am looking forward hopefully to the moment when the steps laid out above happen and I can lay the bet off and take my profits.
 
Lundinsponytail said:
Now three points fewer behind. They are one of the form teams in the league, and it looks as if the Spurs home draw has given a young side a lot of confidence.
I am afraid that I never bought into the breezy optimism that because sides below us have got a point a game this season, they would all just dutifully continue to do so. When teams - and I use the word team advisedly - are battling, and are under real pressure, they very often up their game, in desperation.
The trends are that this is going to be a high points tally to go down season. For the next few weeks, we play top 10 sides, and those at the bottom play each other (have a look at the fixture list). They cannot all lose ti each other!!
Crucially, we are psychologically unprepared for where we are. Only ten days ago, players were still talking about making the play-offs. Our new owner, bless him, was still talking that way on Friday!! Heavens knows the stories he was told by Darryl, as they went on their open-top bus tour around the university.
Hopefully, though, this is the result that wakes the entire gaff up, once and for all. From bullshitting former owners, to delusional current owner, to managerial candidates, to players who came here having been sold a pup, to Alice in Wonderland fans trying to detach themselves from the weird and not very wonderful ass-licking personality cult which revealed itself in that ghastly exit press release. Reality checks all round, a quick check on surroundings and a few swift moves. As follows: appoint a crisis manager, with a bonus for keeping us up; narrow the squad down to 20 odd fit guys and send everyone else off on holidays. Do not need disaffected players hanging around when we need to battle. Nor can we afford to nurse long-term injuries back in. Make a public request for support, apologise to the supporters for the shambles that this season is and declare a new 10 game mini season with a points target of 12 to reach safety before Blackburn away.
I backed us to be relegated at 20/1 in December, and am looking forward hopefully to the moment when the steps laid out above happen and I can lay the bet off and take my profits.
Click to expand...

Everything about that post suggests you're a Grade A Bellend.

Hope your rhino skin can take that.
 
I’ve backed us to go down at 25-1.

It’s an emotional hedge.

The possibility of it - and the pain - scares me so that if it happens I will at the very, very least have some spending money to momentarily take the edge off the misery

I don’t want it to happen. I co side my stake the sum I would pay for us to stay up.
 
The Hawk said:
I’ve backed us to go down at 25-1.

It’s an emotional hedge.

The possibility of it - and the pain - scares me so that if it happens I will at the very, very least have some spending money to momentarily take the edge off the misery

I don’t want it to happen. I co side my stake the sum I would pay for us to stay up.
Click to expand...

Sorry but I don't understand why people back their football club to be relegated. In my opinion it's not exactly supporting your club, is it?
 
I'd never do it, but understand the 'emotional hedge' thing a bit. The difference is:

The Hawk: "I don't want it to happen."
The Pillock: "looking forward hopefully to the moment when the steps laid out above happen"
 
I never bet for or against Oxford, nearly did the season we went up and changing my mind cost me money but I didn’t care, was happy with just promotion.

The club causes me enough grief without chucking more money at it, plenty of other stuff to have a flutter on so that it’s easy to keep gambling and OUFC apart for me.
 
I'm glad charlie never brought our club. He probably would have led us to the Hellenic league (whilst putting a bet on it in the process)
 
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